Action 24003 - Integrated Climate Policy Assessment:
Emissions and Environmental Impacts (ICPA-EEI)
Reducing EU
greenhouse gas emissions by 20% by 2020; is it enough to
prevent serious environmental and economic impacts?
The JRC FP7 Climate
Change Strategy intends to provide reference knowledge for
development of an EU Climate change policy. This policy will
have to adopt both mitigation and adaptation options and
should consider the linkage between air pollution and climate
change both on the European and global scale. Through
integrated assessment modeling climate policies will have to
be examined both in terms of physical and economic terms in
order to understand the future benefits and costs to society
and ecosystems. This assessment should consider synergies and
trade-offs between climate and air pollution policies. For
example,to the reduction of CO2 emissions, might lead to an
increased demand for biofuels which in turn may lead to
deforestation to create croplands and increased fertilizer
application thus ultimately increasing air pollutant
emissions.
This Action will integrate global
emission scenarios of greenhouse gases and air pollutants
through global atmospheric chemistry modeling and regional
climate modeling to assess the physical impacts and benefits
of climate policy on the climate and environment of Europea
and the Globe.
A mirror action ICPA-SEI carried out at
the JRC/IPTS in Seviglia will assess the economic impacts and
benefits.
Specific objectives of the Action
To translate the results of the
detailed environmental impact assessments into relevant policy
advice to tackle the climate change problem, by taking into
account the inter-linkage between air pollution and climate
change and emission trends in various world regions:
To provide consistent scenarios of
greenhouse gases and air pollutants at the European and global
level based on socio-economic trends and different mitigation
options.
To provide regional climate scenario
model data to various DG JRC impact models to facilitate
consistent analysis of European vulnerability and adaptation
to climate change.
To assess the co-benefits of climate
change mitigation and adaptation policies on the environment
in Europe and other world regions.
To assess the co-benefits of air
pollution policies on the climate in Europe and other world
regions.
To assess of the vulnerability and
adaptation of Europes ecosystems to future impacts of climate
change and air pollution.
To assess the effectiveness of
climate policies at European, Member States and regional
levels.
To integrate socio-economic cost
studies with environmental impact studies to calculate the
possible future costs of air pollution and climate change on
ecosystems, agriculture and human health in Europe and various
world regions.
The integrated assessment relies on the
application of in-house databases and collaboration with other
JRC Institutes and centres of excellence in Europe,
i.e.:
- Emission Database for Global
Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), developed by the IES, in
collaboration with the Netherlands Environmental Assessment
Agency (MNP) and the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry,
Mainz.
- EDGAR-POLES emission scenarios in
collaboration with DG JRC, IPTS, Seviglia.
- TM5 global atmospheric chemistry
model (see also IES Action 24002)
- ECHAM-HAM global circulation model
- CLM regional climate model with a
fine resolution over Europe
- Global ecosystem model (under
development) to study climate-vegetation interaction.
Contact info
John van
Aardenne
Tel: (+39) 0332 785833
E-mail: john.van-aardenne(at)jrc.it
Main customers
- DG Environment
- DG Research and Technological
Development
- UN-ECE Programme for Monitoring and
Evaluation of the Long-range Transmission of Air Pollutants in
Europe (EMEP), Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air
Pollution
- International atmospheric
chemistry and climate modeling community.
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change
Relevant links
Emission Database
for Global Atmospheric Research
IPCC -
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
European
Environment Agency (EEA)
European Climate Change Programme
UN-ECE Task
Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution
European
Commisison, DG JRC, Institute for Prospective Technological
Studies, Transport and Climate group
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